Historical Context
By the early 1960s growth theorists had two pieces on the board: Solow's exogenous-savings model (1956) and the resurrected Ramsey framework that Cass and Koopmans were independently developing. Both depended on a representative-agent abstraction that some economists found uncomfortable. The world is not populated by immortal households; it is populated by overlapping cohorts of finite-lived agents.
Paul Samuelson had already sketched the alternative in his 1958 *Journal of Political Economy* paper, *An Exact Consumption-Loan Model of Interest with or without the Social Contrivance of Money*. Samuelson's setting had no production — only an endowment economy with two-period agents — but it established the crucial insight: with overlapping generations and no asset to transfer wealth across cohorts, the autarkic equilibrium can be Pareto-inferior to alternatives sustained by money or social transfers.
Peter Diamond's 1965 *American Economic Review* paper, *National Debt in a Neoclassical Growth Model*, took Samuelson's two-period structure and added capital and production. The result was a complete general-equilibrium growth model with a non-trivial role for government debt. Diamond showed that issuing public debt in a dynamically inefficient economy could raise welfare by crowding out excess capital — an idea that would later become central to the debate over Social Security in the United States.
Timeline
| Year | Author | Contribution |
|---|---|---|
| 1958 | Paul Samuelson | Two-period consumption-loan model; existence of money as a store of value. |
| 1965 | Peter Diamond | OLG with production and capital; analysis of public debt and dynamic inefficiency. |
| 1965 | David Cass / Tjalling Koopmans | Optimal-growth (RCK) framework — the infinite-horizon counterpart. |
| 1979 | Bewley | OLG with idiosyncratic income risk; foundations for incomplete-markets macro. |
| 1985 | Olivier Blanchard | Perpetual-youth ('Blanchard–Yaari') model — continuous-time variant with stochastic death. |
| 1989 | Auerbach & Kotlikoff | Large-scale computable OLG; Social Security and tax policy quantification. |
| 1990s | Various | OLG with human capital, bequests, idiosyncratic risk — modern public-finance workhorse. |