econ.studio
Solow–Swan Growth Model
Section 4 of 9
Section 4

Steady State and Dynamics

The steady state is the long-run destination: the value kk^* at which k˙=0\dot{k} = 0. Capital per effective worker stops changing, and the economy travels along a balanced growth path.

Solving for the steady state

Set k˙=0\dot{k} = 0 in the law of motion k˙=skα(n+g+δ)k\dot{k} = sk^\alpha - (n+g+\delta)k. Solving for kk:

k=(sn+g+δ)11αk^* = \left(\frac{s}{n + g + \delta}\right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha}}
y=(k)α=(sn+g+δ)α1αy^* = (k^*)^\alpha = \left(\frac{s}{n + g + \delta}\right)^{\frac{\alpha}{1-\alpha}}
c=(1s)yc^* = (1-s)\,y^*
No scalar found for key: steady_state_k

Existence, uniqueness, and stability

These three properties follow directly from the shape of f(k)f(k). See the phase diagram in Section 5 for the visual argument.

Existence: the Inada conditions force sf(k)>(n+g+δ)ksf(k) > (n+g+\delta)k near k=0k=0 and sf(k)<(n+g+δ)ksf(k) < (n+g+\delta)k for large kk. By continuity, they must cross at least once.

Uniqueness: the concavity of f(k)f(k) means sf(k)sf(k) bends away from the linear break-even line. There is exactly one crossing point.

Global stability: for any k0>0k_0 > 0, the sign of k˙\dot{k} always points toward kk^*. No matter where the economy starts, it converges.

Capital–output ratio
sn+g+δ\dfrac{s}{n+g+\delta}
k/y=s/(n+g+δ)k^* / y^* = s/(n+g+\delta). Constant in steady state — a Kaldor stylised fact.

The balanced growth path

At steady state, what is growing and what is constant? The table below answers this. It matches the Kaldor stylised facts — the empirical regularities that a good growth model should reproduce.

VariableGrowth rate in steady stateKaldor fact?
kk, yy, cc, ii (per effective worker)00Yes — capital-output ratio is stable
Y/LY/L, K/LK/L, C/LC/L (per worker)ggYes — living standards grow steadily
YY, KK, CC (aggregate)n+gn + gYes — total output grows
Factor shares (α\alpha, 1α1-\alpha)00Yes — shares are roughly constant
Without technology (g=0g = 0) there is no long-run growth in living standards. The model tells us technology matters; it does not explain where technology comes from.

Transition dynamics: what happens after a rise in ss

Suppose the economy is at kk^* and the savings rate permanently rises from ss to s>ss' > s. What happens?

Immediately: the investment curve sf(k)sf(k) shifts up. At the old kk^*, actual investment now exceeds break-even investment, so k˙>0\dot{k} > 0.

During the transition: kk rises toward the new, higher kk^{*\prime}. Output per effective worker y=kαy = k^\alpha rises too. Growth is temporarily positive — but it slows as kk approaches kk^{*\prime}.

In the new steady state: kk and yy are permanently higher. But the long-run growth rate of yy is back to zero (or gg per worker). This is the key lesson: saving more shifts the level of output, not the long-run growth rate.

Speed of convergence

Linearising k˙\dot{k} around kk^* gives the convergence speed:

λ=(1α)(n+g+δ)|\lambda| = (1-\alpha)(n+g+\delta)

With α=1/3\alpha = 1/3, n=0.01n = 0.01, g=0.02g = 0.02, δ=0.05\delta = 0.05: λ5.3%|\lambda| \approx 5.3\% per year.

Half-life of convergence

t1/2=ln2λ=0.693(1α)(n+g+δ)t_{1/2} = \frac{\ln 2}{|\lambda|} = \frac{0.693}{(1-\alpha)(n+g+\delta)}

Absolute versus conditional convergence

Absolute convergence: all countries converge to the same steady state, so poor countries always grow faster. The basic Solow model does not predict this — it says countries converge to their own steady state.

Conditional convergence: a country grows faster the further it is below its own kk^*. Given the same ss, nn, gg, δ\delta, poorer countries grow faster. Cross-country regressions consistently find conditional but not absolute convergence.