Steady State and Dynamics
The steady state is the long-run destination: the value at which . Capital per effective worker stops changing, and the economy travels along a balanced growth path.
Solving for the steady state
Set in the law of motion . Solving for :
Existence, uniqueness, and stability
These three properties follow directly from the shape of . See the phase diagram in Section 5 for the visual argument.
Existence: the Inada conditions force near and for large . By continuity, they must cross at least once.
Uniqueness: the concavity of means bends away from the linear break-even line. There is exactly one crossing point.
Global stability: for any , the sign of always points toward . No matter where the economy starts, it converges.
The balanced growth path
At steady state, what is growing and what is constant? The table below answers this. It matches the Kaldor stylised facts — the empirical regularities that a good growth model should reproduce.
| Variable | Growth rate in steady state | Kaldor fact? |
|---|---|---|
| , , , (per effective worker) | Yes — capital-output ratio is stable | |
| , , (per worker) | Yes — living standards grow steadily | |
| , , (aggregate) | Yes — total output grows | |
| Factor shares (, ) | Yes — shares are roughly constant |
Transition dynamics: what happens after a rise in
Suppose the economy is at and the savings rate permanently rises from to . What happens?
Immediately: the investment curve shifts up. At the old , actual investment now exceeds break-even investment, so .
During the transition: rises toward the new, higher . Output per effective worker rises too. Growth is temporarily positive — but it slows as approaches .
In the new steady state: and are permanently higher. But the long-run growth rate of is back to zero (or per worker). This is the key lesson: saving more shifts the level of output, not the long-run growth rate.
Speed of convergence
Linearising around gives the convergence speed:
With , , , : per year.
Half-life of convergence
Absolute versus conditional convergence
Absolute convergence: all countries converge to the same steady state, so poor countries always grow faster. The basic Solow model does not predict this — it says countries converge to their own steady state.
Conditional convergence: a country grows faster the further it is below its own . Given the same , , , , poorer countries grow faster. Cross-country regressions consistently find conditional but not absolute convergence.