Multiplier Effect
The multiplier effect is the idea that one dollar of new spending ends up raising total income by more than a dollar, because each person who receives it turns around and spends part of it. Suppose the government spends 100 and spends 100.
More precisely, an initial change in autonomous spending — government spending, investment, or exports — leads to a larger change in equilibrium output through successive rounds of induced consumption. How large depends on the marginal propensity to consume (MPC): the fraction of each extra dollar of income that households spend rather than save. A higher MPC means more is re-spent at every round, so the ripple runs longer and the multiplier is bigger. The tax multiplier is smaller than the spending multiplier, because when taxes are cut, households save part of the windfall instead of spending the whole amount.
- Marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
- The fraction of an extra dollar of income that a household spends. A higher MPC produces a larger multiplier.
- Marginal propensity to save (MPS)
- The fraction of an extra dollar of income that is saved, . The multiplier can be written as .
- Autonomous spending
- Spending that does not depend on current income — such as government spending or investment. A change in it is what the multiplier acts on.
- Tax multiplier
- The multiplier on a change in taxes, smaller in size than the spending multiplier because part of a tax change is saved rather than spent.